Offsides Macro Insights

Offsides Macro tracks positioning, pressure, and regime across global markets, surfacing where risk is one-sided before flows propagate and narratives catch up.

Core Philosophy

Fundamentals describe the state of an asset. Positioning describes the state of its holders. The first is usually efficiently priced. The second is not. That gap is where markets become fragile and where asymmetric opportunity is created when stress or new catalysts force positions to change.

How the Framework is Applied

Offsides Macro is a positioning-based framework derived from integrated futures and options positioning data across global markets, built to measure that gap. It tracks not just who holds risk, but how vulnerable those holders are to funding stress and how quickly flows can become self-reinforcing once price starts to move.

Offsides Macro is built to position within this asymmetry before price breaks.

Where This Has Worked

Equities: while the narrative post liberation-day was the “demise of the U.S.”, “Mag-7 concentration”, and the hysteria around “2 cuts vs 3”, positioning signaled a bottom in Equities.
Energy: Offsides Positioning signaled the move in crude and energy equities in Q4 ‘25 before the narrative formed in Q1.
Metals: even after outsized moves in 1H ‘25, Offsides positioning kept us long the debasement trade.
FX: despite the negative NAFTA and tariff narrative into election night, positioning reflected peak fear.
Stay current on weekly positioning reports, regime shifts, and updated data across equities, rates, FX, and commodities.
All rights reserved. RBJR LLC 2026
  • Based In North Carolina
Disclaimer: This publication is for general informational and educational purposes only. It is not investment advice, does not take into account individual circumstances, and should not be relied upon for making investment decisions. The views expressed are solely those of the author and do not represent the views of any employer or affiliated institution.
Two weeks of the Basic Plan, the weekly Positioning Report and the Asset-Class Matrix.

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